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MAN-YI is expected to continue intensifying as it traverses the Northern Philippine Sea & shall move in a generally NW'ly track for the next 2 days. Majority of the computer forecast models still shows a path towards Okinawa-Southern Japan area this weekend (Jul 13 to 15). The 2 to 4-day long-range forecast (Jul 13 to 15) shows the system becoming a Category 4 Typhoon (220 km/hr) as it passes very close to the East of Okinawa, Japan Friday afternoon, Jul 13 (around 2 PM HK Time) and shall accelerate NE to ENE passing along the beachfront-coastal areas of Kyushu, Shikoku & Honshu. The eye of MAN-YI is forecast to make landfall over Southern Honshu or just to the South of Kyoto, Japan by Sunday afternoon, Jul 15. During its forecast passage over Southern Japan, MAN-YI is likely to become an Extratropical Cyclone.
Time/Date: 5:00 PM Wed July 11
Location of Eye: 18.0ş N Lat 132.4ş E Lon
Distance 1: 1,050 km (567 nm) SSE of Okinawa, Japan
Distance 2: 1,100 km (595 nm) NE of Naga City
Distance 3: 1,130 km (610 nm) East of Aparri, Cagayan
Distance 4: 1,125 km (607 nm) ESE of Basco, Batanes
Max Sust Winds (1-min avg): 165 kph (90 kts)
Peak Wind Gusts: 205 kph (110 kts)
Saffir-Simpson Scale: Category 2
Central Pressure: 954 millibars (hPa)Recent Movement: NW @ 33 kph (18 kts)
General Direction: Okinawa-Kyushu Area
Size (in Diameter): 1,035 km (560 nm) / Very LargeMax Sea Wave Height (near center): 30 ft (9.1 m)