... E-Austria, Hungary,E-Slovenia and Croatia, E-Bosnia and Herzegovina and Serbia ... 12Z soundings over E-Austria and Hungary reveal steep lapse rates, minimal CAPE release, low dewpoints and unidirectional NW-erstly flow. A 40-45m/s mid-level streak, currently placed over S-Austria/Slovenia and Crotia, spreads southwards. Attendant left exit now affects area of interest, especially Hungary and SE-wards. Convection is on the increase and conditions look supportive for strong showers/a few thunderstorms in those areas. Mid-levels in the left exit region cool down slightly, some diabatic heating helped to push surface temperatures to near 10°C and locally better moisture/orographic lift could result in a few short-lived storms. However, expected coverage seems too low for a such a broad thunderstorm area. Marginal hail/gusty winds are the main risk.
ja se nadam... pljuskovi snega...